Sports wagering can be quite profitable if anyone know the tricks this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. Most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. My partner and i analyzed typically the Western side California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the video game. However , We also realized that there are a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This activity possesses all the symptoms of being one regarding the greatest games of the year, along with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, having Western Virginia coming back from becoming down major in the fourth one fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game search like this year?

When this match were turning into played with the neutral field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, often the added in benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that extra point could make the distinction between a new push in addition to a loss.

But what about Louisville?

cebofil.org/category/%eb%a8%b9%ed%8a%80%ec%82%ac%ec%9d%b4%ed%8a%b8 are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game in your own home, while averaging only stopping 15. 8 points every game with home. In case a person didn’t do the mathmatical, that means given that their own last home reduction they have already averaged beating their opposing team by way of about thirty four points per game.

In addition amazing, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They already have got recent games where they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 12, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a new close game to get in touch with. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off that game and not bet at all. There happen to be better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they could very well still win following making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this match, people severe about sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on forthcoming games.