Sports bets is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. I analyzed typically the Western world Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded of which West Florida had typically the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there are a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not wager on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West California versus Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one connected with the greatest games of the year, using each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming backside from becoming down huge in the final one fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the game appearance like this year?

When this video game were as played from a good neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Va Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, the additional bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that extra point can make the distinction between some sort of push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… ufabet168.bet/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2-%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%B5 hasn’t lost at your home since December 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for each game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points each game in home. In case you failed to do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their particular last home reduction they also have averaged beating their very own opposing team by way of about 34 details per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the range, on average, by simply 13 things per online game at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Almost all of those stats have been developed during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a good close activity to call up. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off that game and not really bet at all. There are usually better game titles this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s borders was not so big which they could still win following producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on that game, people critical about wagering saved money that they can put to better use on approaching games.