Sports betting can be extremely profitable if a person know the strategies this “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great example. We analyzed often the Western world Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Va had often the edge in the match. Yet , We also recognized that there are a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this kind of game. Here is my analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This sport offers all the symptoms of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, using both teams coming into the sport 7-0. ufabet168.bet/%e0%b9%81%e0%b8%97%e0%b8%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%ad%e0%b8%a5/ ‘s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back again from getting down huge in the final 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

In the event that this video game were as played on a new natural field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.

These are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, this included bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not look like very much, but in a close match-up such as this, that spare point will make the variation between a good push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are almost as good like WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at home since December eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points for each game in home. In case anyone don’t do the math concepts, that means considering that their particular last home decline they’ve averaged beating their particular adversaries by way of about thirty four details per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by means of 13 factors per activity at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats had been built up during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. And these online games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close game to get in touch with. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero factor to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off that game and certainly not guarantee at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big which they can still win soon after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that game, people serious concerning sports betting saved money they will can put to better work with on upcoming games.