Sports betting can be quite profitable if you know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that sensible money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. We analyzed this Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that West Va had the particular edge in the game. However , I actually also realized that there was a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on that game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West California or Louisville

This sport possesses all the signals of being one regarding the ideal games associated with the year, using equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having Western side Virginia coming again from being down major in the final quarter to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

If this video game were getting played at the simple field, West California will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. kmns.ac.th/ufabet haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the extra added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like significantly, but in a close up match-up like this, that special point can make the distinction between a good push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since 12 , 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game at your home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points each game in home. In case an individual didn’t do the math, that means considering his or her last home reduction they have already averaged beating their own opponents by about 34 details per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Many of those stats had been accumulated during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have acquired recent games in which they have already only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is that will this is still the close game to call up. But the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and not gamble at all. There will be better activities this weekend with more simple advantages.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they can still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of video game, people really serious regarding sports betting saved money many people can offer better apply on future games.