Sports bets can be very profitable if an individual know the tricks often the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect example of this. My partner and i analyzed typically the West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Florida had the edge in the game. However , We also noticed that there were a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This game possesses all the symptoms of being one of the most effective games of the year, with each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western Virginia coming again from being down large in the final 1 fourth to winning around overtime.

So what’s ufabet seem like this year?

In the event that this video game were appearing played on a new basic field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, this added added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like much, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that spare point could make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since January 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. five points every game at your home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points every game at home. In case you don’t do the math, that means since their last home decline they also have averaged beating his or her opponents by about 34 things per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by way of 13 items per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats were being established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They also have possessed recent games by which they already have only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still some sort of close sport to get in touch with. Although what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and not really guess at all. There usually are better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can could very well still win right after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of sport, people significant with regards to gambling saved money they will can offer better make use of on future games.