Sports betting is often very profitable if anyone know the techniques often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent example of this. www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3ufabet/ analyzed the Rest of the world Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Las vegas had the edge in the game. Yet , We also recognized that there initially were a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on that game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This video game offers all the symptoms of being one regarding the best games involving the year, together with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back again from becoming down major in the final quarter to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

If this match were as played at some sort of fairly neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, the additional benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up like this, that spare point will make the variation between some sort of push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points for each game from home. In case an individual don’t do the mathematics, that means since their very own last home decline they already have averaged beating their particular opposing team by about 34 items per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by means of 13 details per video game at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Almost all of those stats were being built up during the june 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already possessed recent games by which they also have only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

Basically that this is still the close sport to phone. Nonetheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this kind of game and not wager at all. There usually are better game titles this quick with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for some sort of TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big they will could still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this game, people significant with regards to wagering saved money these people can put to better apply on future games.