Sports bets can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I analyzed often the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Virginia had the edge in the video game. Nonetheless I also recognized that there initially were a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This sport has all the signs of being one connected with the ideal games involving the year, having each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, equally using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from appearing down major in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning around overtime.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

When สมัครแทงบอลออนไลน์ were appearing played in a new basic field, West Va would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.

These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, often the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem to be like substantially, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point could make the variation between a push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own final 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since 12 , 20, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points per game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 8 points for each game in home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering his or her last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own adversaries by simply about thirty four points per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by 13 items per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats were developed during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They have already had recent games where they are yet to only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a close video game to get in touch with. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily bet at all. There are usually better games this weekend break with more simple benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big they may still win right after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific sport, people serious about sports betting saved money that they can put to better make use of on upcoming games.