Sports playing are often very profitable if a person know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. I analyzed often the West Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Va had this edge in the video game. Nonetheless I actually also came to the realization that there are a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game offers all the symptoms of being one of the most effective games involving the year, with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from being down major in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event this video game were getting played from a fairly neutral field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Through ufabet168.info/คำศัพท์การพนัน-เว็บufabet -5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the particular extra added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a near match-up similar to this, that spare point will make the distinction between the push in addition to a loss.

But what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home games.

Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since January 20, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game in your house, while hitting only letting go of 15. 8 points per game with home. In case a person failed to do the mathematics, that means since his or her last home decline they have already averaged beating their very own opponents simply by about thirty four points per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per game at home considering that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s the way…

Nearly all of those stats were being piled up during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They also have had recent games that has they have already only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Ohio E. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still a close game to get in touch with. Nevertheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not bet at all. There usually are better game titles this weekend with more simple rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for the TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border was not so big they could still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this kind of match, people critical with regards to wagering saved money that they can put to better work with on approaching games.