Sports bets can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that clever money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. We analyzed the Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Florida had the edge in the match. Nevertheless , I actually also recognized that there have been a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on that game. Here is my analysis I released just before the game:

West California vs . www.ufabet168.info/%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%81%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%AD%E0%B8%A5/ provides all the signs of being one involving the very best games of the year, with equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Western side Virginia coming back again from being down large in the next quarter to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

If this match were being played on a new natural field, West Florida would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost given that Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up like this, that extra point might make the change between a new push and even a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since 12 17, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points every game on home. In case a person didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home damage they already have averaged beating their own opposing team simply by about thirty four things per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by way of 13 things per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats ended up developed during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have got recent games that has they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a close video game to contact. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off that game and not necessarily wager at all. There usually are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they can may still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By not betting on this particular match, people really serious about sports betting saved money these people can put to better make use of on coming games.