Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if a person know the techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. We analyzed the particular West California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West Va had typically the edge in the video game. However , I actually also came to the realization that there was a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this specific game. Here is my own analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This online game offers all the signals of being one regarding the greatest games associated with the year, having equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming backside from staying down big in the 4th quarter to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

When this match were turning into played at a good simple field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not look like very much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that excess point could make the difference between a new push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In UFABET168เว็บแทงบอล or her last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in the home since Dec 20, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in your house, while averaging only quitting 15. six points every game with home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means since their own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their very own opponents by simply about thirty four things per game.

What’s more outstanding, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by means of 13 details per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Most of those stats were accumulated during the july 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have acquired recent games by which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. They will ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still the close sport to contact. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage was not so big they may still win right after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific activity, people severe with regards to wagering saved money many people can put to better employ on forthcoming games.